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With the bulbs already planted and the spring bloom months away, Dutch
citizens in the winter of 1636-37 bid up the price of rare tulips to the
point where the future delivery of one exotic Viceroy flower required a
down payment that included eight pigs, a dozen sheep, four tons of butter, a
thousand pounds of cheese and a bed.
And so it was in July 1998 with the promise Internet profits, when the
stock value of the online bookstore Amazon.com continued multiplying past
the combined value of its much larger offline competitors despite growing
losses. Rocketing prices of Net stocks arched earthward in the fall, but the
bout of gravity soon passed. By early December America Online, Yahoo and
Amazon were colossi of the stock market, with "market caps" ($44 billion,
$21 billion, $12 billion, respectively) that dwarfed name-brand airlines
and investment
banks. Feeding the frenzy, lesser companies with little but .com in their
names staged fantastically profitable public offerings that valued
money-losing million-dollar revenues at billion-dollar prices.
How to explain the mania? Obvious excitement over the Internet's promise --
no duh! -- plus a new breed of online investors placing bets through
low-commission web brokerages. There won't be enough seats for everyone
when the music stops, but knowing that doesn't make it any easier to leave
the party early.
Related Coverage:
IPO Central
Nasdaq
Fortune Magazine's Online Investing Guide
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