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There are some obvious traps for each candidate. Even as Bush's team
was congratulating itself for rearranging the debate order to put
foreign policy first, there were forces at work that might undercut
that advantage. Kerry finally seems to be finding his voice on the
Iraq war, just as the news from that country is being dominated anew
by beheadings and car bombings. In TIME's poll, taken a week after
Kerry launched his broadside that Bush was "living in a fantasy world
of spin" about the real outlook in Iraq, only 37% of voters say Bush
has been truthful in describing the situation there, whereas 55% say
the situation is worse than the President says. And 51% echo Kerry's
contention that the U.S. action in Iraq has made the world more
dangerous, up from 46% in early September.
For Kerry, the contests are a badly needed opportunity to reintroduce
himself to the electorate. About 1 in 5 voters, according to the TIME
poll, still don't know enough about him to have an opinion. That
segment of the population has actually grown in recent weeks. One
perception that has taken root is that Kerry is a flip-flopper. Only
37% of voters say they believe he sticks to his positions; 84% say
that about Bush. So it could be all but fatal for Kerry to do or say
anything in the debates that might reinforce that image.
With so much on the line, Bush started prepping this summer and has
had occasional full-length dress rehearsals, but the pace picked up
last weekend at his Crawford, Texas, ranch. New Hampshire Senator
Judd Gregg, who played Al Gore in the 2000 drill, stood in for Kerry,
and admaker Mark McKinnon assumed the role of the first debate
moderator. It all took place in a one-story building known as the
Conference Center, where Bush practiced behind a lectern and aides
flashed cue cards that told him how much time he had left, just as
officials will at the debate. Sessions were scheduled for 9 p.m. E.T.
so that the early-to-bed Bush could set his body clock to the precise
time of the real thing.
Aides have given Bush audiocassettes of Kerry's favorite attack
lines, which the President listens to as he flies between campaign
events on Air Force One and sometimes as he works out. The political
team started preparing for this phase of the campaign more than six
months ago, during the Democratic primaries. Gathering in the Montana
West conference room at the Bush-Cheney headquarters in Arlington,
Va., Bush aides and members of the Republican National Committee
huddled around the television to watch the Democratic candidates
debate, waiting to respond to any attack the major candidates made on
the President. Some of the talking points, e-mails and press releases
they generated were issued then, but a lot of the other material
disappeared into a computer network accessible only to officials of
the campaign. The network was set up to test the rapid-response
reflexes of the Bush team and perfect a system of information sharing
that the President's spinners will use this week to highlight Kerry's
misses and Bush's hits on the debate stage.
All those Democratic-primary debates also kept Kerry in practice, his
advisers say. And windsurfing wasn't the only thing he was doing in
Nantucket, Mass., during the Republican Convention. His campaign has
guarded his debate preparation as closely as they did his selection
of a running mate, making sure that only a handful of advisers are in
the room when he drills. Among them: campaign manager Cahill; admaker
and speechwriter Bob Shrum, who helped get Kerry in fighting shape
back in 1996; and former top Gore aide Ron Klain. Kerry's longtime
adviser Jonathan Winer is charged with making sure the candidate is
prepared on every issue. Bush is being played by Greg Craig, who was
White House special counsel during Bill Clinton's impeachment trial.
Wife Teresa is often on hand for the prep sessions, but one source
said she has little to say, at least in front of the others.
Considering that Kerry has vacation homes in Nantucket and Sun
Valley, Idaho, and his wife owns an estate near Pittsburgh, Pa., his
choice of debate boot camp is downright modest. He has encamped in
Wisconsin, 40 miles outside Madison, at the House on the Rock
Resort, where a two-room suite goes for $199 a night. The facility
provides ample biking and hiking trails for a candidate who aides say
doesn't like to do more than about two hours of debate practice in a
row without taking a break. It doesn't hurt that House on the Rock is
smack in the middle of a crucial swing state where recent polls have
shown Kerry struggling.
Past performances suggest that both sides have plenty to fear in
their three engagements. "You will never see a more personable John
Kerry than in these debates," predicts Weld, who in June met at Bush
headquarters with imagemaker Karen Hughes and White House
communications director Dan Bartlett and since then has been offering
tips to campaign manager Ken Mehlman. His warning to them, Weld told
TIME, is this: "Watch out for this guy. He is incredibly quick and
well versed on substance. Don't expect him to make a mistake or to
come across as aloof. This is his turf." Kerry, after all, founded a
debating society at his prep school. Bush's chief strategist, Matthew
Dowd, says he knows Kerry's record and is not spinning when he
describes the challenger as "the best debater ever to run for
President" and even "better than Cicero." But Weld's advice
apparently has yet to seep in. Bush's top advisers believe it is
unlikely that Kerry will be able to make the personal connection with
voters that can be so important in presidential debates. "The biggest
test for Kerry," says a senior Bush adviser, "is whether anyone wants
him in their living room."
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