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New Hampshire
Electoral Votes: 4 (no change since 2000)
2000 Results: Bush 48%, Gore 47%, Nader 4%
Recent Polls
University of New Hampshire: Kerry 49%, Bush 48%, Nader 2%
(Oct. 28-30; margin of error +/-3.7%)
American Research Group: Bush 48%, Kerry 48%, Nader 2%
(Oct. 27-30; margin of error +/-4.0%)
Mason-Dixon: Kerry 47%, Bush 46%
(Oct. 27-29; margin of error +/-4.0%)
Research 2000: Kerry 49%, Bush 46%, Nader 2%
(Oct. 26-28; margin of error +/-4.0%)
Population: White 95.1%, Hispanic 1.7%, Asian 1.3%
Urban Population: 59.2%
Rural: 40.8%
Median Income: $49,467
Unemployment: 3.7%, as of August
Forecast: It's Kerry's backyard, but the polls continue to show a dead heat. This will be close.
New Hampshire is the only New England state Al Gore lost, and that's because New Hampshirites are stubbornly independent. A state doesn't put "Live Free or Die" on its license plates unless it means it. That attitude has attracted almost every New Englander looking for a libertarian, low-taxes way of life. And that's a lot of people — the state population grew 20% in the '80s and 11% in the '90s. Two-thirds of the votes are in the southeastern corner of the state—in Keene, Manchester, Concord and Portsmouth—within driving distance of Boston. Oh, and one more thing—Al Gore lost by 7,211 votes here, and Ralph Nader got 22,198. He won't draw that many in November, but he's on the ballot again and could still make a difference.
With just days to go, the race is still a dead heat. Bush made his final swing through on Friday. He also picked up the endorsement of Boston Red Sox ace Curt Schilling.
Counties to Watch: Grafton, Hillsborough, Merrimack, Rockingham
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