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The Beginning of the End
The WEF Annual Meeting is drawing to a close, so where do we go from here?


BY JEFF CHU Davos


JANUARY 30  
world economic forum
The crowds at the Congress Center have thinned out. The press room doesn't have that same manic atmosphere. We've heard from a slew of business and government leaders. And there's no longer a wait for a urinal at peak hours in the men's room. The 2001 Annual Meeting is drawing to a close and, as the hard work of putting words into action begins, one question comes to mind: what have the participants gotten done in Davos? Here is a brief rundown of what has happened in four of the focus areas at this year's annual meeting:

The Digital Divide
Bridging the divide was one of the primary themes in Davos. But it wasn't lost on all the participants that the technology used in Davos was far from problem-free. The iPaq pocket PCs crashed early and often, and the Intranet services were often overwhelmed by heavy demand. Does the Third World really want all this? That's not a question that was often asked, as many participants forged ahead with discussions on how to bridge the widening digital divide. Corporations pledged to address issues of basic education as well as more advanced IT-related training. Business and government leaders also discussed establishing sustainable business partnerships, rather than distributing one-time aid. But at least one participant, Taizo Nishimuro, chairman of Toshiba, acknowledged, "There are winners and losers. We cannot make everybody win."

The Global Economy
"We're at the beginning of what technology can do, not the end," said Carleton Fiorina, CEO of Hewlett-Packard. But technology can't say exactly where the world economy is going, nor can it prescribe a fix in the event of a slowdown. The general mood in Davos was one of cautious optimism. It's expected that the economy, particularly in the U.S. but also in Europe, will slow somewhat this year, but most people predict-or hope for-a soft-ish landing. In the tech sector, it seems like the wisest policy is "wait and see," as companies figure out how to strengthen their fundamentals and experiment with the models-business and product-of tomorrow.

First World-Third World Relations
From the first day, the divide that emerged most prominently was not technological but economic and specifically agricultural. Minister after minister from Africa, Asia and Latin America hammered away at the farm subsidies, in particular the European Union's Common Agricultural Policy, that, in their view, hamper market access and render much of the global market inaccessible to Third World farmers. Four African heads of state also announced an initiative to tackle their continent's many problems. It is, says Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo, "a plan by Africa for the people of Africa." But would they have announced it in Davos if they didn't need significant Western help?

Health
There was at least $100 million worth of progress here in Davos, namely in the form of a grant from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation to the International AIDS Vaccine Initiative. A session on Monday also outlined concrete steps that are being taken to combat some of the most common and fatal diseases in the Third World, including tuberculosis and malaria. A working group will coordinate action among governments, NGOs and the broader international community. They will consider options and prepare a report to next year's Annual Meeting in Davos. The possibilities are myriad. For example, if pesticide-treated mosquito nets were available in malarial regions, the infection rate could decline by an estimated 30%. But such nets are currently subject to tariffs and taxation that, according to WHO director Gro-Harlem Brundtland, are counterproductive. Jeffrey Sachs of Harvard University emphasized that while "business is ready to deal," neither Bill Gates nor the rest of the business community can do it all. Government must play a key, if not the key, role. "Businesses are not fundamentally philanthropic institutions. They cannot carry this burden," he said.


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