FRANCOIS MORI/AP
Far-right National Front presidential candidate Jean-Marie Le Pen



E U R O P E

May 6, 2002/Vol. 159 No. 18
No Winner, Just Losers

After Le Pens shocking upset in the first round of the presidential election, the French ask themselves: Who is to blame, and whats next?


Ah, the glories of crisis. After a deadening presidential campaign that moved French voters to derision rather than participation, National Front leader Jean-Marie Le Pen's stunning passage to the runoff round next Sunday has belatedly set France's political blood pumping — and maybe flowing. Hundreds of thousands were on the streets last week, and a million could be marching against Le Pen on May Day this week, when clashes are likely with his National Front (FN) militants honoring Joan of Arc. "I've got my hammer out already, made of hard African wood," says Gilles Rohaut, 50, owner of a snackbar near Paris' Gare de l'Est, who demonstrated against Le Pen with his 17-year-old daughter last week at the Bastille. "We're going to smack him where it hurts."

Along with a keening cry of "Had we only known!" that reaction seems to be the best French democracy can offer in the immediate wake of Le Pen's leering half-victory. As some urgently conjure up the "brown pest" of Nazism, and others even savor the prospect of street battles la Berlin in the 1930s, France has finally found a political mission in making sure Le Pen is demonized. The second round of the presidential elections on Sunday has been transformed into a "referendum on Le Pen," and the hope is to make it a resounding non.

As noble as that mission is, it misses the larger point. For Le Pen is a symptom of France's malaise, not the cause. Rejecting him is a necessary and bracing tonic, but "antifascism" is the easy part. As they scramble to improve their fortunes in the campaign for crucial legislative elections on June 9 and 16, France's traditional political parties have been saved from articulating a coherent message of change by the specter of Le Pen's success. Unless they go deeper and look at their own gaping distance from voters' concerns, they are going to live with a societal migraine for years to come.

The no pasaran stance sidesteps the reality that the far right didn't win nearly as much in the first round of the presidential elections as the traditional parties lost. The National Front and its 1999 offshoot, the National Republican Movement of Bruno Mégret, a former Le Pen lieutenant, together got 900,000 more votes than Le Pen did last time. But the Socialists of Premier Lionel Jospin lost 2.5 million. The Communist Party, bigger than the Socialists 30 years ago, essentially self-destructed, losing more than 1.6 million voters since 1995 to collect a pitiful 3.37% of the vote. The Greens' gain of almost 500,000 couldn't begin to offset the debacle of Jospin's "pluralist left."

Chirac can't crow victory either. Totaling up his score with those of conservative candidates François Bayrou and Alain Madelin still yields a catastrophic drop of 4.5 million voters for the parliamentary right. "These elections mark a movement of rejection," says Pascal Perrineau, director of the Center for the Study of French Political Life. The biggest sole gainer in the elections were abstainers. Only a third of those who bothered to show up cast their ballots for the parties of Chirac and Jospin, which Perrineau says are perceived as "technocratic and out of touch with the people." And the rest? "One-third of the electorate voted for people with no political project: they were advocating the dictatorship of the proletariat, withdrawal from Europe or, in the case of [Gilles Saint-Josse's pro-hunting party, nothing at all," he says. "It's a vote of hatred and resentment, and it shows that French society is in very bad shape indeed."

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