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For governments trying to resolve the issue, it's double jeopardy. First problem: people live longer. In 1960-65, Europeans had an average life expectancy of 70. It was therefore quite reasonable to assume that a person living in a nation with a retirement age of 65 would spend an average of about five years collecting a state pension. By 2045-50, life expectancy in Europe is projected to reach 82. If governments don't raise the retirement age, they will have the average retiree on their books for 17 years.

Second problem: people retire earlier. In addition to the obvious attractions for individuals, some countries have early-retirement programs in order to combat unemployment. In Italy, where the official retirement age is 65 for men and 60 for women, the average age when people retire is 59. And other countries permit civil servants to get full pensions despite an interrupted work history — meaning they receive the full benefit of the system without having made an equivalent contribution to it.

Illustrations for TIME by Scott Menchin
The country that has been most successful in shifting the pension burden from the state to corporations and individuals is the U.K. A series of reforms, which started in the 1980s, make Britain the only European nation to project a decrease in the percentage of GDP it will spend on pensions over the next 50 years. Among other initiatives, between 2010 and 2020 the government plans to raise the retirement age for women from the current 60 to 65 — the same age as for men.

A more ambitious recent move has been the introduction of "stakeholder pensions." From last October, the government has required all businesses with more than five workers to choose a pension plan for their employees who want to opt out of the standard state occupational pension system. Stakeholder plans — which were designed primarily with low-to-mid-income earners in mind — seem like an ideal vehicle.

Companies like them because they are not required to make any pension contributions — such schemes are financed entirely by contributions from the individual. Individuals should like them because, unlike the state scheme, stakeholder pensions offer them more control over where their money is invested — in mutual funds, for example. But the plan has had negative consequences. In order to cut costs, some corporations are downgrading the pension coverage they provide new employees, by placing them in self-financed stakeholder schemes rather than company plans.



"I think this was unanticipated by the government, but that's what's happening," says Gordon Clark, a fellow at Oxford University's Institute of Ageing.

Independent pension groups are warning that without radically increased incentives, like employers matching the contributions of their employees, most lower wage earners cannot make contributions that would significantly help their retirement. They are recommending that millions of people switch back to the state system. Says Clark: "I think in five years' time people will look back and say the stakeholder pension didn't work." The government still supports stakeholder plans, however, as do corporates — because they cost nothing.

The standard corporate pension plans are in flux too. Recently, following the introduction of controversial new accounting rules — which call on companies to show pension-fund shortfalls in their balance sheets — more than a dozen top-flight British companies, including the Nationwide Building Society and food retailer Iceland, have frozen their defined-benefit schemes. Those are the plans in which a predetermined percentage of an employee's salary is paid out in the form of a corporate pension — a formula devised when pension funds were typically invested in bonds with fairly predictable returns. Instead, these companies are putting workers into defined contribution schemes, guaranteeing only the investment, not the return. That effectively transfers the risk — and in part the management — of the pension benefit from the employer to the employee.
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