Microsoft goes Mobile
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For Microsoft, the dongle is part of a broader push to control how software developers construct their games,
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Ultimately, these issues are less about technology than they are about billing. Microsoft's Knook envisions a world in which developers of mobile-phone games, music and services abide by Microsoft's blueprint, and tie their offerings into a telecom company's billing system, allowing operators like Vodafone to deliver a neat monthly bill. The project is a radical departure for Microsoft, in that it gets none of the revenues. "We should not be in the middle,'' says Knook. "This is a different approach.''
So what's in it for Microsoft? For starters, it helps the company push its ongoing ".Net" initiative, a major focus of Microsoft's $6.8 billion R and D this year. Dot Net is Microsoft's approach to an industrywide interest in "Web services," in which any application works on any computer through the Internet. With last week's Vodafone announcement, Microsoft hopes to expand ".Net" to the mobile world. Microsoft also hopes to sell a lot more software for back-end "server" operations that will handle billing and processing for mobile services. More immediately, the Vodafone alliance represents one more step in Microsoft's long, slow march against dominant European players like Nokia.
But most mobile operators have resisted Microsoft's overtures. Other than Orange, no major European operator has marketed a Microsoft-based phone, although some, including T-Mobile, O2 and Telefónica Móviles, are selling a Microsoft-based "personal digital assistant" which has phone capabilities.
MSN is another prong of Microsoft's push. Ideally, customers would go back and forth seamlessly between MSN on the computer and MSN on the phone, primarily for e-mail and Web surfing. But MSN has progressed slowly in Europe. Several operators have licensed MSN services over the past two years, but so far have stopped short of loading an MSN "portal" onto their phones. Despite promises from T-Mobile and others to offer such a portal as early as later this year, Jessica Figueras, an analyst with the London based research firm Ovum, says mobile operators launching an MSN portal "would be like turkeys voting for Christmas,'' because it would siphon users away from the operators' own portals.
The Vodafone initiative could yet backfire if the industry objects to Microsoft and Vodafone attempting to impose their will. Gates made it clear that that's what the two companies are up to, noting that "Microsoft and Vodafone want to drive these standards forward and make that a platform for the industry."
Others wonder how such a tentative deal as the dongle is going to gain traction and enter widespread use. An appropriately vague Microsoft statement calls Gates' speech an "outline of a vision." Vodafone chief executive Arun Sarin didn't even show up for the announcement, sending a lieutenant instead not the diplomatic courtesies to which Gates is accustomed. Knook said he did not know who will make or sell the dongles. Neither did Vodafone "strategic relationship executive" Paul Davey, who said dongle-related services won't surface until the second half of next year at the earliest.
The alliance will at least advance Microsoft's mind share in the European mobile industry. But that's the easy part. Gates will have to wait to find out whether his trip to Geneva actually advances sales, or is left dongling in the wind.
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