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Scramble to the Launching Pad
European space officials watched nervously last week as a gleaming white Ariane 3 rocket awaited the final seconds of countdown on its jungle-ringed launching pad in French Guiana. While the Ariane program has generally been a success, three of its 16 missions since 1979 have ended in costly accidents. This time the European Space Agency's unmanned craft carried a payload of two satellites worth a total of $200 million: G-Star II, owned by the U.S. communications company GTE, and Brasilsat S2, a Brazilian counterpart. The countdown ran smoothly until just 4.9 seconds before ignition, but then a sudden computer foul-up scrubbed the mission. Ariane officials hope to try again this week.
The breakdown temporarily frustrated the eleven-country European consortium's continuing effort to demonstrate its rocket's reliability and clinch an even larger share of the lucrative satellite-launching business. Ariane has been the free world's only active satellite carrier since the explosion of the space shuttle Challenger on Jan. 28, which put the U.S. program out of commission for a year or more. The shuttle's hiatus leaves a big opening in the launching market, a business worth at least $500 million a year. Between now and 1990, an estimated 60 commercial satellites will need a lift into orbit. While the National Aeronautics and Space Administration struggled last month to find out the cause of the shuttle disaster, an Ariane launch successfully put two satellites into orbit. Before the accident, the shuttle held two-thirds of the market and Ariane had the rest.
Several entrepreneurs in the U.S., along with government-run rocket . programs in Japan and China, now aim to give Ariane a run for its money. NASA, which previously tried to protect its turf by discouraging U.S. satellite- launching entrepreneurs, earlier this month came out in favor of private rocket services to take up the slack left by the shuttle's interrupted schedule. Reason: Congress is worried that U.S. companies will become dependent on foreign satellite-launching services.
Until January's accident, the space shuttle had been scheduled to carry aloft seven satellites this year and 19 in 1987. That total included two commercial satellites in 1986 and six next year, at a launching fee of up to $40 million each. Since NASA has scrapped that plan, several customers have started shopping around. Western Union was forced to postpone the June trip of its Westar VI, a 24-channel communications satellite designed to replace an older, twelve-channel model. GTE Spacenet had planned to send up its G-Star III, which would relay telephone and television signals, on the shuttle in November. Says C.J. Waylan, the company's president: "We're not abandoning the shuttle, but we're not going to wait inactively either. We have customers to satisfy."
Yet the only alternative at the moment is Ariane. The consortium has been so profitable, posting earnings of $24.3 million in 1985 on revenues of $200 million, that it plans to make a public stock offering by 1988. The agency has just completed a second, $140 million launching pad on South America's northeast coast that will double Ariane's annual capacity from five missions to ten.
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