Will Anyone Ever Run a Three Minute Mile?
Athletes are getting better and better, but is there a
limit to human performance? If so, when will we reach it?
By JEFFREY KLUGER
For a species that prides itself on its athletic prowess, human
beings are a pretty poky group. Lions can sprint at up to 50
m.p.h. when they're chasing down prey. Cheetahs move even
faster, flooring it to a sizzling 70 m.p.h. But most
humanswith our willowy spines and awkward, upright gaitwould
have trouble cracking 25 m.p.h. with a tail wind, a flat track
and a good pair of shoes.
Nonetheless, the human race is undeniably becoming a faster
race. Since the beginning of the past century, track-and-field
records have fallen in everything from sprints to miles to
marathons. The performance arc is clearly rising, but no one
knows how much higher it could climb. At some point, even the
best-trained body simply has to up and quit. The question is,
just where is that point, and is it possible for athletes,
trainers and scientists to push it higher?
By almost any standard, the best yardstick for measuring how
steadilyif slowlyathletic performance has improved is the
mile run. In 1900 the record for the mile was a comparatively
sleepy 4 min. 12 sec. It wasn't until 1954 that Roger Bannister
of Britain cracked the 4-min. mark, coming in six-tenths of a
second under the charmed figure. In the half-century since,
uncounted thousands of mile heats have been run, yet less than
17 additional seconds have been shaved off Bannister's
recordabout a third of a second per year.
The credit for the improvement goes mostly to better training
and equipment, but shoes and diet can get only so good before
theyand the runnershit a wall. "It's conceivable the record
could be 3 min. 30 sec. in 50 years," says American Olympic
miler Steve Holman. "But bringing it down much more is a long
way off." Scientists agree. In 1987 researchers at Canada's
McGill University developed a mathematical model that predicted
a world mile record of precisely 3 min. 29.84 sec. in 2040.
All bets are off, however, if genetic engineers find a way to
intervene. What slows the human body down is less the
architecture of its skeleton than the chemistry of its muscles.
The key to speed is making muscles contract faster, and the key
to that is gassing them up with as much oxygen as possible.
"About 80% of the energy used to run a mile," explains
physiologist Peter Weyand of Harvard University, "comes directly
from oxygen."
Muscles process oxygen through cellular components known as the
mitochondria. Human mitochondria take up only about 3% of the
space in a cell. But in animals that run the fastest,
mitochondria are far bigger; the mitochondria of an antelopean
animal that easily runs a 2-min. mile and does so in wispy
mountain air 7,000 ft. upare three times larger than ours. "If
you could genetically engineer humans to have more mitochondria,
bigger hearts and more blood vessels," says Weyand, "we might
run about 40 m.p.h."
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