Russia retains its
Cold War policy of being prepared to launch its missiles upon warning of an
American attack instead of waiting for confirmation that the U.S. has actually
struck. In nuclear jargon it's called a "hair-trigger posture." The danger is
that missiles could be fired based on faulty radar readings.
That is the situation as it stands currently. How would it change with Zyuganov
in power? He has said little on the subject of nuclear weapons, though the
Communists do oppose START II, and intelligence analysts are uncertain of his
plans for the nuclear arsenal. What is clear is that he is a communist and a
nationalist who speaks menacingly of bringing now-independent states back into a
Soviet Union.
"A nuclear war is unlikely under a Zyuganov presidency, but it is even more
unlikely under a Yeltsin presidency," says arms expert Andrei Zobov, an associate
at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Moscow. Where nuclear war is
concerned, the difference between unlikely and more unlikely is not a trivial
one, so here is another reason for the U.S. to hope Yeltsin wins, despite all his
flaws. -reported by Andrew Keith and John Kohan/Moscow
ABOVE: Russia stil has 6,000 active warheads
Vladimir Mashatin