CURRENT EVENTS UPDATE

By RON STODGHILL II/CHICAGO

O.K., so suburban mom Beth Ball, 34, may not have been cast on Survivor, but the Villa Park, Ill., resident is feeling pretty close to the subsistence level these days. Ball owns a 1999 Ford Econoline van but has to keep it parked, she says, because gas prices are so outrageously high. A few days ago, she shelled out $90 to fill her tank. It’s still full, as if the fuel were a nest egg. To commute to work, she borrows her husband’s Pontiac Grand Am. For errands, she walks. “I don’t drive anywhere as much as I used to,” Ball says. “I can’t afford it.”

Maybe it was the steady rumble of outrage expressed by Beth Ball and millions of other Americans as gas prices inched over $2.30 a gal. in some cities. Maybe it was the 100th news story or angry call to a radio show. Whatever it was, the issue became the one for both presidential candidates to grab hold of. It has become clear to Al Gore and George W. Bush that the man who can gain the advantage on the summer’s first hot political issue could set the pace for the rest of the campaign.

Since perception is more important than reality in this case, there’s one thing neither Gore nor Bush is likely to admit anytime soon. In relative terms, gas prices are not that high. At this moment in the presidential race, however, the only thing that matters is that gas prices feel high to Americans, who have been guzzling freely for more than a decade now. And that’s what makes this issue more potent than, say, Social Security as a debating point. Outrage is bubbling up, not from policy wonks and interest groups but directly from citizens who haven’t been heard from in a while. Voters are increasingly dumbfounded by the sharp spike in prices at a time when there is no obvious cause, like a disruption in supply. And they are likely to stay angry and keep pressing for answers. Restless voters like these, many of whom happen to appear in critical Midwestern states where gas prices are highest, are the kind that turn elections.

As a result, Gore and Bush spent much of last week playing a furious round of the blame game. Gore’s camp, for good reason, is worried that its man could become a fall guy in an economic downturn. Still, it figures that rising gas prices provide the Vice President with a two-pronged if somewhat risky shot at Bush: blast the oil companies for milking the consumer, then staple Bush to their greasy lapels, painting him as a friend of Big Oil whose tight money connections all but implicate him in gouging consumers. Said Gore during a speech: “It’s time to put our feet on the brakes of what may well be Big Oil’s price gouging.”

Bush’s campaign was swift in firing back, blaming the rise in prices on the Administration’s domestic energy policy as well as Gore’s crusade for stringent clean-air fuel, which is at the center of fast-rising fuel prices in the Midwest. At a well-scripted press conference last week, when asked about the increases and the suggestion that Bush’s oil ties made him a culprit, the Governor replied, “There seems to be an effort out of Washington to blame me for rising energy prices. I am amazed that they are trying to shift the blame away from people that are holding the office.” Then Bush took out a copy of a book by Gore, its pages clearly earmarked for handy referral.

“I don’t know if anybody’s read Earth in the Balance,” Bush said, and he slid on his glasses and read aloud a passage in which Gore said that while the public opposed raising taxes on fossil fuels, raising them was the right policy. “In other words,” Bush said, “he writes in a book that he thinks we ought to have higher fuel prices... Now that he is running for President, he seems to be changing his tune.”

Everyone is under pressure. Perhaps prodded by Washington, OPEC, which had been hesitant about putting new crude on the market, last week announced it would try to drive down U.S. prices by goosing up production. Some state officials, enjoying budget surpluses, have vowed to give drivers a break by suspending the gas sales tax for a couple of months. It’s not quite altruism. “If gas prices were to stay at today’s rate for the next year, Indiana could lose 17,000 jobs,” says Governor Frank O’Bannon.

According to experts, U.S. gas prices have risen because of a complicated blend of global politics, increased consumer demand and stricter clean-air regulations. Back in 1988, in response to a worldwide glut in crude oil, OPEC restricted production at the same time the strong U.S. economy was seducing ever more Americans into gas-guzzling trucks and suvs. For troubled oil companies, strong volume at the pump has been the only crutch supporting comparatively low gas prices caused by the glut.

Surely Gore understands all this, but the urge to paint Bush as a poster boy for Big Oil has been irresistible. The picture isn’t hard to paint. Bush campaign chairman Don Evans is also chairman of oil company Tom Brown Inc. and has seen his stock rise 73% since January. The oil and gas companies have contributed $1.5 million to Bush, versus $95,000 to Gore. All his campaigns dating back to 1978 have been bankrolled by oil money. And in his unsuccessful 1978 congressional race, Bush declared, “There’s no such thing as being too closely aligned to the oil business in West Texas.”

However, it may not be difficult for Bush to make Gore the first name people curse when they fill up their tanks. After all, the Vice President is on his “Prosperity and Progress” tour, taking credit for America’s unprecedented expansion—and implicitly all that goes with it. “This is a huge liability for Gore,” says Bill Paxon, former New York Congressman who is now a Bush adviser. “The current situation is an example of what kind of energy and economic policy he’d pursue. It’s one thing to talk about it in the abstract and to write it in a book, but now it’s affecting people’s pocketbooks.”

Questions
1. Why have gas prices risen?
2. What charges have Bush and Gore made in playing the “blame game” on gas prices?.